Statistics Student Creates Computation After Hearing 2022 Election Cheating Rumors

Statistics Student Takes Initiative to Make Own Computation After Hearing Cheating Rumors During 2022 Elections

A statistics student has created his own computation after hearing alleged cheating rumors on 2022 national elections.

A Facebook user named Raven Eduardo, a BS-Statistics student who tried to make his computation of the possible methods used to determine the results of recent poll. The post garnered various reactions online.

Eduardo revealed that he is a solid supporter of Vice President Leni Robredo and whole-heartedly accepted the loss of his presidential bet. However, he heard cheating rumors when it comes to the computation of results.

Statistics Student

Raven did not believe it at first, so he decided to check it by encoding the data given and tried to use the alleged computation method (r=1.thus, r^2=1). He noticed that the gap is consistent around 47 percent.

The male netizen said that he can predict the votes for Marcos  if he could obtain the votes given for Leni Robredo. He assumed that Marcos Vote = 2.074*Leni Vote + 326821.654 might be the algorithm used for the program.

Statistics Student Statistics Student

Here is the full post:

Hi guys, I’m Raven Eduardo, BS-Statistics student. I’m solid supporter (not fanatic) of Leni Robredo. Last night, tinanggap ko na talo na talaga siya. Not until, I heard rumors na possible na nag karoon ng dayaan based sa computation ng isang Applied Math Student.

Rumor: Vote count of BBM and Leni Robredo is perfectly correlated (r=1.thus, r^2=1). So possible na manipulated ang botohan.

Since, I’m a statistics student, hindi agad ako naniwala. I had to check it myself. So I encoded the data, as you can see to the pictures. To my surprise, yes the r-value is 1 so does the r^2. So ano ba ibig-sabihin niyan.

According to my Prof. Sir J. Albos, In statistics, if R value and/or R^2 value is equal or almost close to 1, it implies na biased yung data. (There’s no such thing as perfectly linear relationship, not unless nga manipulated or controlled yung dataset).

r=1 means a relationship between two variables, x (vote count ni leni) and y (vote count ni marcos), in which the change in value of one variable is exactly proportional to the change in value of the other. Mapapansin niyo yung gap nila is consistent around 47%.

r^2=1 indicates that the response variable can be perfectly explained without error by the predictor variable.

Using regression, as shown below, I can perfectly predict kung ilan ang magiging vote count ni BBM kapag may idea ako kung ilan ang vote count ni Leni. Equation presented below.

Marcos Vote = 2.074*Leni Vote + 326821.654.

This might be the algorithm na ginamit sa program. If in any case, programmed talaga ang botohan.

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#statisticianforleni

Note: Hindi ko na hinahabol pag ka panalo ni Leni, bahala na kayo jan. Ang akin lang, yung possibility na may dayaan. Ano yun for formality nalang yung pag boto? Nag sayang lang tayo ng isang araw. Ginawa ko nalang din sana ng finals. Be reliable naman COMELEC.

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