UP Experts Estimate 40,000 Coronavirus Cases In Philippines BY June 30
40,000 CORONAVIRUS CASES – Experts from the University of the Philippines (UP) predicts that the number of COVID-19 cases in the country could reach 40,000 by June 30.
Experts from UP have been right before on their estimates. Last month, they predicted around 24,000 coronavirus cases come June 15. Now, with only a few days left, the Philippines had documented 23,732 COVID-19 cases.
Our data suggest that a premature relaxation of the ECQ in the NCR may result in an escalation of 24,000 cases and 1,700 deaths by June 15, 2020,
Additionally, on average, the Department of Health reports 200-300 cases per day. With that in mind, it would just be a matter of time until their prediction would come to fruition.
Meanwhile, UP experts had another prediction for the coronavirus. They estimated that by June 30, the number of cases in the Philippines would almost double to around 40,000.
According to an article from GMA, Institute of Mathematics Assistant Professor Guido David and Department of Political Science Assistant Professor Ranjit Singh Rye presented data on the transmission of the virus.
’Yung projection actually is nasa 40,000 cases by June,
The experts explained that the coronavirus in the Philippines has a reproduction number of 1.2. He added that when the number reproduction number (R0) is less than zero, the curve would be flattening. But, if it’s greater than one, then it is spreading.
With the easing of quarantine restrictions and opening of businesses many fear that the coronavirus could spread further in the country.
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